As of January 2026, the overall impact of trade tariffs on real GDP in the U.S. was estimated at **** percentage points. The construction industry was expected to be the hardest hit, showing a decline of *** percentage points. On the other hand, durable manufacturing was forecast to see a boost of *** percentage points.
Profit from the additional features of your individual account
Currently, you are using a shared account. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set
statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account.
If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again.
Learn more about how ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾 can support your business.
The Budget Lab at Yale. (January 19, 2026). Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector [Graph]. In ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾. Retrieved August 12, 2026, from /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. "Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector." Chart. January 19, 2026. ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾. Accessed August 12, 2026. /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. (2026). Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector. ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾. ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾 Inc.. Accessed: August 12, 2026. /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. "Change in Long-run Real Gdp from Trade Tariffs in The United States as of January 19, 2026, by Sector." ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾, ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾 Inc., 19 Jan 2026, /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale, Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector ÀÖ²¥´«Ã½app×îа汾, /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/ (last visited August 12, 2026)
Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector [Graph], The Budget Lab at Yale, January 19, 2026. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/